This document is based on the contribution of all project partners. It especially builds forward on the three interim project deliverables in Work Package 2. Myrna van Leeuwen, Hans van Meijl and Edward Smeets of LEI Wageningen UR are the editors of this report. Researchers who contributed are Peter Verburg and Marleen Schouten (VUA), Stefan Bringezu and Meghan O’ Brien (WI), Hannes Böttcher and Hugo Valin (IIASA), Yannis Tsiropoulos (UU), Lauri Hetemäki, Marcus Lindner and Alexander Moiseyev (EFI), Franziska Junker and Ralf Döring (TI), and Siwa Msangi (IFPRI).
This deliverable builds on the two interim project deliverables in Work Package 3 ‘Systems analysis protocols’ and on the results of Work Package 1 ‘Scoping and definition of the systems analysis framework’ and Work Package 2 ‘Tools for evaluating and monitoring’. All SAT-BBE partners have contributed to this report.
This document is part of WP 3 ‘Systems analysis protocols’ of the EU FP 7 SAT-BBE project: Systems Analysis Tools Framework for the EU Bio-Based Economy Strategy.
The objective of this deliverable is to lay out the operational relationship between the various modelling tools that will support the analysis of the knowledge-based bioeconomy.
The essential elements that are needed to describe the evolution of the bioeconomy have already been laid out in the previous deliverables of the project – but this work package component will make the possible nature of the linkages between them more concrete and specific to the various modelling tools that are used within the research consortium. By describing the operational relationships between the analytical components, the possible methods for linkage, and the challenges that are faced in carrying this out – we will lay the groundwork for the actual design and implementation of a workable set of protocols.
This exercise will also serve to highlight the many complex interactions that are considered in the systems analysis tools framework developed in this project.
One of the biggest challenges facing global society today is the provision of food, water, energy, healthcare and other resources and services to a world that will see its population increase by a third in the face of mounting environmental stresses over the next 20 years. SAT-BBE studies the contribution of a bioeconomy in many of these areas to ensure long term economic and environmental sustainability.
Given that the lead time for some social and technological solutions is long, there is a need for a framework to structure long-term analytical capacity for providing guidance for the execution of consistent, coherent, long-term strategies with desirable consequences, putting into focus the bioeconomy as an increasingly leading part of the economic system. Inherent in this framework is the integration of the rapid developments in bio-technology, with far-reaching impacts in the fields of agriculture, forestry and fisheries, human health, and industrial production.
SAT-BBE brings together a consortium of internationally recognised and respected researchers in bio-based economy and sustainability at the European and global levels. During the two and a half years planned for the project, the consortium will design a systems analysis tools framework using their broad experience of modelling the economy in the perspective of bio-based and sustainability objectives. A systems analysis tools framework has the purpose to understand the functional requirements of a bio-based economy and to measure the necessary extent for transformation of the economy as a whole to a bio-based foundation. Systems analysis implies the capacity to understand relations between parts, and the nature of both the parts and their relationships.
Tools are modelling and non-modelling analytical methods, organised in evaluation (and, by extension, monitoring) methodologies. The project will match the tools with the requirements of the systems analysis and ensure that links between the tools and their access by non-specialists are explicitly addressed.
Data requirements and indicators are designed according to the inputs required, and the outputs desired, for the type of analyses intended.
Grant Agreement ID311880
DurationFrom: 2012-10-01To: 2015-03-31
Overall Budget685 482 €
CoordinatorSTICHTING WAGENINGEN RESEARCH